Can Ruben Amorim Survive at Manchester United Until Summer 2026? Betting Odds Say It’s Close
Affiliate Disclosure : We earn a commission from partners links on BetterGambling. Commissions do not affect our editors' reviews, recommendations, or ratings.
Manchester United’s 2025 shake-up has been bold: they replaced Erik ten Hag, now enduring a rocky Bundesliga start with Bayer Leverkusen, with Ruben Amorim. But 8 months and 45 matches in, Amorim’s start hasn’t exactly been a masterclass; it’s more of a slow drip of frustration.
Nightmare Record at Old Trafford
The story of Ruben Amorim this season… pic.twitter.com/qARO5sNYHv
— ESPN UK (@ESPNUK) August 27, 2025
Amorim’s numbers don’t read like a turnaround story. After 45 matches, United have just 17 wins and already 19 defeats. For a club of Old Trafford’s stature, that’s nowhere near good enough.
Tough start to the season!
This season has been particularly grim. United have failed to score in their opening two Premier League matches and were knocked out of the League Cup by League Two side Grimsby Town, a defeat that stung even more after it came on penalties.
To make matters worse, Amorim has already signed two proven Premier League goalscorers, Bryan Mbeumo and Matheus Cunha, as well as talented youngster Benjamin Sesko, but the goals just aren’t coming.
European-Free Season: A Blessing or a Curse?
Once again, Manchester United are without European football. Amorim himself admitted the squad might not have been ready for the extra load anyway, but that’s hardly comforting for the fans. This is a club that should be in the Champions League every season, pushing for trophies—not sitting out midweek nights entirely.
‘WE WERE NOT PREPARED TO PLAY IN EUROPE!’ 🚫 | Ruben Amorim says he will rotate the squad pic.twitter.com/ReEaV9LBlw
— BeanymanSports (@BeanymanSports) August 26, 2025
And without Europe, expectations for domestic success are even higher. The Premier League title looks out of reach already, so the question is: can fans really trust the process, or will Amorim be receiving his cards sooner rather than later?
What Next for Amorim?
If Amorim wants to buy time, his only option right now is to grind out results, even if they’re ugly, while waiting for his squad to gel. Critics have pointed out that his 3-4-3 system leaves the midfield exposed, while players like Mason Mount and Bruno Fernandes have looked lost in the shuffle.
Simply put, United look just as disorganized as they did under Erik ten Hag, and that’s the last thing fans wanted to see. Amorim needs to prove he can get a tune out of his signings quickly—otherwise the pressure will only grow.
Betting the House: Odds on the Sack
Bookmakers aren’t blind to the tension at Old Trafford. Here’s how Amorim compares in early-season sack odds:
| Manager | Odds to Be Sacked First |
| Nuno Espirito Santo (Forest) | 11/8 |
| Graham Potter (West Ham) | 9/4 |
| Ruben Amorim (Man Utd) | 3/1 |
| Keith Andrews | 12/1 |
| Daniel Farke | 16/1 |
Amorim isn’t at the very top of the list, but at 3/1, he’s not far behind. Only Nuno Espirito Santo, who is rumoured to be at odds with Nottingham Forest’s hierarchy, and Graham Potter, who’s had a poor start with West Ham, are ahead of him.
Can Amorim Turn It Around?
To survive at Old Trafford until summer 2026, Amorim needs to:
- Show clear improvement in performances, not just results.
- Find a working formula for Mbeumo, Cunha, and Sesko up front.
- Re-establish midfield balance, giving players like Mainoo more responsibility.
- Keep the fans onside by avoiding further humiliating defeats.
It’s possible he can create something similar to his successful spell at Sporting, but that requires time, and time is one thing Manchester United don’t often hand out.
Then again, for all the criticism, the club has shown patience before. Ole Gunnar Solskjaer and Erik ten Hag were both given extended chances before being let go.
The question is whether the owners and hierarchy believe Amorim is actually the problem or if the deeper issue lies within a squad that has failed multiple managers in recent years. That doubt might just give him the breathing space he needs.
The Current State of Events
Right now, it feels like a coin flip. Amorim could just as easily be building towards something better as he could be packing his bags before Christmas. For gamblers, it’s one of those 50-50 wagers that depends entirely on United’s next few fixtures.
The bottom line is that Amorim is in survival mode. Unless he turns things around quickly, his time at Old Trafford might end sooner rather than later.
