What Are the Odds of Manchester City Winning the Premier League Title Two Times by 2028?

Let’s be honest, the 2025/26 season doesn’t feel like Manchester City’s at all. Liverpool, who are the current defending Champions and arguably City’s greatest rivals over the past decade, came flying out the blocks, winning their first three games of the season, including a statement win over Arsenal, who are no pushovers themselves.

Arsenal and Chelsea Bigger Threats Than City?

Manchester City have lost two of their opening three games to the Premier League season 🤯❌ pic.twitter.com/iV4khTeH5O

— OneFootball (@OneFootball) August 31, 2025

Three straight second-place finishes show Arsenal’s consistency, and with Gyökeres leading the line and Madueke covering for Saka, they’re stronger than ever.

And then there’s Chelsea. Last year they finished just two points behind City, but now they look far more dangerous. Their Club World Cup win over PSG, who were fresh off a Champions League triumph, wasn’t just an upset, it was a statement. With João Pedro, Estevão, and Jamie Bynoe-Gittens added to the mix, they’re serious contenders.

In words of one syllable, City’s not the automatic favourite this year.

Pep Guardiola: The X-Factor That Never Goes Away

All said and done, you can never write off City because you can never write off a Pep Guardiola team. The man has been managing for 16 seasons and has 12 league titles. Sure, people argue he’s always had stacked squads, but plenty of managers have had superteams and never achieved his level of dominance.

Pep Guardiola has been a professional top flight manager for 16 seasons. He has won the league in 12 of those seasons.

That is a 75% title winning percentage.

Not a single manager in football history has that win percentage in INDIVIDUAL GAMES, nevermind titles.

Other than… https://t.co/ZYiRZdXbSj

— B. (@InvertTheWing) August 1, 2025

Look at Carlo Ancelotti or José Mourinho, for instance. Both had powerhouse clubs, but neither churned out league titles the way Pep does. He’s football’s ultimate cheat code. That’s why, even when Liverpool, Arsenal, and Chelsea look strong, Pep keeps City right in the conversation.

A Squad Built to Bounce Back

City didn’t like finishing third in 2024/25, so they reloaded in the transfer market. Their summer haul included:

• Rayan Aït-Nouri from Wolves to add width in defense
• Rayan Cherki from Lyon for flair and creativity
• Tijjani Reijnders from AC Milan to strengthen midfield depth
• Gianluigi Donnarumma to replace Ederson, who moved to Fenerbahce

This is more than just patchwork. It’s a full squad refresh. They may not gel immediately in 2025/26, but give it a season or two and this team could be terrifying again.

The Rivals Who Could Spoil It

City’s chances of winning two titles by 2028 don’t just depend on them. It’s about whether their rivals keep the pressure on.

Liverpool are back to their high-pressing, fast-starting best under Klopp. Arsenal look hungrier than ever, finally adding depth to match their quality.

Chelsea are young, fearless, and playing with nothing to lose. If all three keep building momentum, City’s road back to dominance gets tricky. But football isn’t that predictable; injuries, managerial changes, or dips in form can flip the script quickly.

How the Odds Look Right Now

The latest Sky Bet odds for the 2025/26 Premier League winner show bookmakers still see City as one of the main contenders despite the rocky start. Here’s how the 2025/26 Premier League race stacks up:

Can City Really Win Two by 2028?

Here’s the verdict: it’s not crazy at all to think City could win two out of the next three league titles.

Why?

• Pep almost always bounces back after a dip.
• Their new signings give them fresh energy.
• Rivals look great now, but football cycles turn quickly.

If Liverpool, Arsenal, or Chelsea stumble even slightly, City are primed to step back into their usual role as favourites.

Never Bet Against Pep

City may not be the team to beat this season, but it doesn’t appear like they will be part of the furniture for long. By 2026/27 and beyond, expect their new squad to fully click, and Pep to remind everyone why he’s the most dominant league manager of the modern era.

So, what are the odds of City winning two Premier League titles before 2028? Pretty solid, to be honest. It won’t be easy, but if history has taught us anything, it’s that ruling out Manchester City is always a mistake.

Sources & Further Reading

• Sky Bet – Premier League Winner Odds 2025/26
• Transfermarkt – Man City New Signings 25/26
• Wikipedia – Pep Guardiola Managerial Career Stats