Odds Breakdown: Could Zinedine Zidane Finally Take Over at Manchester United?

Odds Breakdown: Could Zinedine Zidane Finally Take Over at Manchester United?

Peter OmbatiAuthor

Zidane to Manchester United: You’ve seen the odds, and you’ve heard the rumours. And yet, every year, it ends the same: he's linked, priced, but never lands. So why does this story keep resurfacing?

What Are the Odds of a Manager Leaving a Premier League Club Immediately After Securing European Qualification?

What Are the Odds of a Manager Leaving a Premier League Club Immediately After Securing European Qualification?

Manu MurimiAuthor

You’d think qualifying for Europe means job security. But in the Premier League, it can be the calm before the exit. From Wenger to Potter and Moyes to Klopp, history is full of managers walking just after hitting their targets.

What's the Probability of a Premier League Club Re-hiring a Former Manager

What's the Probability of a Premier League Club Re-hiring a Former Manager

Manu MurimiAuthor

In football, sentimentality is supposed to be rare. Results are everything, and second chances? Even rarer.

How Often Does VAR Overturn a Goal Decision in Major Leagues?

How Often Does VAR Overturn a Goal Decision in Major Leagues?

Diana TunsuReviewer

If Opta data is anything to go by, approximately 33% of VAR (Video Assistant Referee) checks in the English Premier League overturn on-field referee decisions. From handballs and offsides to fouls inside and outside the box, we have seen what this technology can do. Its accuracy is open for debate, but the Premier League says that VAR has increased the correctness of decisions by 14%.

What Are the Odds of Goals Being Scored in Injury Time?

What Are the Odds of Goals Being Scored in Injury Time?

Peter OmbatiAuthor

Injury time, also called added time, is one of the most significant sections of a match that can drastically affect match outcomes. It may be in the first or second half of the match, but the latter tends to have more pressure.   That’s when the losing team will try to get even or the winning team try to increase the difference.

How Likely Is a Hat-Trick in Professional Football?

How Likely Is a Hat-Trick in Professional Football?

Peter OmbatiAuthor

Whenever you’re sizing up a bookmaker, one thing you’ll probably look out for is the kinds of offers they’re running, especially those tied to goal scorers. A popular one is the hat-trick bonus, where you back a player to score anytime, and if they go on to bag three, you get a boosted payout. It’s a tempting offer because you’re not putting more money down or backing long odds.

What Are the Chances of Hitting a 10-Fold Accumulator Bet?

What Are the Chances of Hitting a 10-Fold Accumulator Bet?

Manu MurimiAuthor

Accumulators have become very popular in the UK, with success stories popping up once in a while. In 2011, Steve Whiteley won £1. 45 million on an accumulator with a £2 bet.

What Are the Odds of Scoring First and Still Losing?

What Are the Odds of Scoring First and Still Losing?

Diana TunsuReviewer

According to a study of over 90,000 matches across major European leagues, teams that score first go on to win around 66. 31% of the time, draw about 20. 7%, and lose only about 12%.

How Often Do Over 2.5 Goals Bets Actually Win Across Major Leagues?

How Often Do Over 2.5 Goals Bets Actually Win Across Major Leagues?

Manu MurimiAuthor

If you’ve ever found yourself just to cash your Over 2. 5 bet, welcome to the club. It’s one of the most popular bets in the goals market, and for good reason.

Do Clean Sheets Happen More Often Than You Think?

Do Clean Sheets Happen More Often Than You Think?

Peter OmbatiAuthor

Goals are great, but there’s just something about a team refusing to concede. We like to think it’s because this rarely happens, or maybe it’s because clean sheets don’t get the love they deserve. This guide looks to explore the probability of clean sheets happening in football and how wise it is to stick a fiver on a match ending with only one team or neither of the teams scoring.

What Are the Chances of a Red Card and How It Flips Betting Markets

What Are the Chances of a Red Card and How It Flips Betting Markets

Diana TunsuReviewer

When a red card hits, markets don’t just adjust, they execute a playbook. Bookmakers have pre-built models that predict player overreactions, and most bettors walk straight into them. In this guide, we’ll decode how red cards really flip betting markets, who profits first, and why the first odds you see after a card are almost never the ones you should trust.

What Are the Odds of a Team Winning After Trailing at Halftime?

What Are the Odds of a Team Winning After Trailing at Halftime?

Peter OmbatiAuthor

In a league as brutally professional as the Premier League, your team going down in the first half might feel horrible. You’re sitting there, frozen, and hoping for divine intervention or a tactical masterstroke of some sort. But let’s be honest, you’re watching and praying more than you’re analysing.

How Often Do Matches End with Exactly 3 Goals Scored?

How Often Do Matches End with Exactly 3 Goals Scored?

Manu MurimiAuthor

Three-goal games sit in football’s sweet spot, not too quiet, not too chaotic. But how often do they really happen, and what do they tell us about the leagues we follow or ? In this guide, we go past the surface and into the stats, the storylines, and the moments that make “just three” feel like the perfect number.

What's the Probability of Both Teams Scoring in the First Half?

What's the Probability of Both Teams Scoring in the First Half?

Diana TunsuReviewer

Have you ever been to a game where, before you’ve even unwrapped your snacks, it was already 1-1 on the scoreboard? In some leagues, like the A-League down under, that’s business as usual. For others, like the French top flight, that scenario is about as likely as the keeper scoring a bicycle kick from inside their own box.

How Often Do Late Goals (After 85 Minutes) Change the Match Result?

How Often Do Late Goals (After 85 Minutes) Change the Match Result?

Manu MurimiAuthor

It’s the 86th minute, your team’s up by a goal, and you’re already halfway out of your seat. Then you concede a corner. They swing it in, and out of nowhere, it’s a bullet header into the back of your net.

What's the Likelihood of a Substitute Scoring a Goal?

What's the Likelihood of a Substitute Scoring a Goal?

Peter OmbatiAuthor

In the EPL 2023/24 season, substitutes scored 12. 76% of all goals. 50% of these had a direct effect on the match outcome, which also means quite a number of bets were affected.

How Often Does the Team with Higher Possession Actually Win?

How Often Does the Team with Higher Possession Actually Win?

Manu MurimiAuthor

Does having more possession mean you’re more likely to win? We looked at data from Europe’s top leagues and major tournaments to find out. The answer: not always.